Uh oh!.... Obama is lagging farther behind where Dukakis and Kerry were at this point

Flopping Aces:

In what by most accounts should be a strong year for Democrats Obama cannot seem to break out and take the lead. Compare that to Dukakis in 1988 and Kerry in 2004. Both had substantial leads at this point and both went on to lose the election.

It is entirely possible that The One has already peaked and has started his descent in the polls.